Procter & Gamble Co. (PG) — Quantitative Forecast & Factor Scores

PG currently carries a valuation grade of Hold. The trailing P/E of 21.7 is roughly in line with the Consumer Defensive sector median of 24.0x. Our discounted cash flow model suggests an intrinsic range of $145–$193, implying a +15% margin of safety at the current price of $146.71.

With a beta of 0.34, PG exhibits a low-volatility risk profile relative to the broad market. Net margins of 19.3% are significantly above the Consumer Defensive average of 12%, reflecting strong pricing power. Return on equity of 31.6% indicates highly efficient capital allocation. The balance sheet is conservatively leveraged at 69% debt-to-equity.

The company has beaten estimates in 67% of recent quarters, a moderate hit rate. The most recent quarter delivered a +3.5% earnings surprise. Analyst estimate revisions are trending stable.

Insiders have been net sellers to the tune of $66,985,424 recently. While routine dispositions are common, the magnitude bears watching. Short interest is low at 1.0% of float, suggesting limited bearish conviction.

A put/call ratio of 0.81 indicates roughly balanced sentiment in the options market. Implied and realized volatility are roughly aligned at 28.5% and 26.0% respectively.

As a Consumer Defensive constituent, PG's risk profile should be evaluated alongside sector peers when constructing diversified portfolios.