McDonald's Corporation (MCD) — Quantitative Forecast & Factor Scores
McDonald's Corporation (MCD) trades at $315.73 and beta of 0.50 — valuation grade: Hold. Factor scores, risk metrics, and forward analytics are computed by the A.L. Capital Advisory quantitative engine.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current Price | $315.73 |
| P/E Ratio | 26.44 |
| Forward P/E | 22.05 |
| Beta | 0.50 |
| Net Margin | 31.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.28% |
Risk Profile & Factor Analysis
MCD currently carries a valuation grade of Hold. The trailing P/E of 26.4 is roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector median of 26.0x. Our discounted cash flow model suggests an intrinsic range of $272–$439, implying a +13% margin of safety at the current price of $315.73.
With a beta of 0.50, MCD exhibits a low-volatility risk profile relative to the broad market. Net margins of 31.9% are significantly above the Consumer Cyclical average of 10%, reflecting strong pricing power.
With a 33% beat rate on recent quarters, earnings predictability has been mixed. The most recent quarter saw a -4.8% earnings miss. Analyst estimate revisions are trending accelerating.
Insiders have been net sellers to the tune of $48,755,434 recently. While routine dispositions are common, the magnitude bears watching. Short interest is low at 1.3% of float, suggesting limited bearish conviction.
The options market shows a put/call ratio of 1.25, reflecting a notably bearish skew in derivative positioning. Implied volatility of 27.2% exceeds realized volatility of 18.0% by 9 points, suggesting options are pricing in elevated risk.
As a Consumer Cyclical constituent, MCD's risk profile should be evaluated alongside sector peers when constructing diversified portfolios.
This analysis is generated algorithmically from market data and does not constitute investment advice. All metrics are point-in-time estimates subject to revision. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.