Intel Corporation (INTC) — Quantitative Forecast & Factor Scores

Quick Summary

Intel Corporation (INTC) trades at $45.03 and beta of 1.38 — valuation grade: Hold. Factor scores, risk metrics, and forward analytics are computed by the A.L. Capital Advisory quantitative engine.

VALUATION GRADE
Hold
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Key Metrics
Metric Value
Current Price$45.03
Forward P/E45.43
Beta1.38
Net Margin-0.5%
ROE0.0%
Debt/Equity37.3%

Risk Profile & Factor Analysis

INTC currently carries a valuation grade of Hold. Our discounted cash flow model suggests an intrinsic range of $18–$60, implying a -13% margin of safety at the current price of $45.03.

With a beta of 1.38, INTC exhibits an above-market risk profile relative to the broad market. Net margins of -0.5% fall below the Technology average of 22%, suggesting potential margin pressure. Return on equity stands at 0.0%. The balance sheet is conservatively leveraged at 37% debt-to-equity.

With a 58% beat rate on recent quarters, earnings predictability has been mixed. The most recent quarter delivered a +14.9% earnings surprise. Analyst estimate revisions are trending decelerating.

Insider transactions show net buying of $24,371,984 over the trailing period, a signal often associated with management confidence. Short interest is low at 2.4% of float, suggesting limited bearish conviction.

A put/call ratio of 0.93 indicates roughly balanced sentiment in the options market. Implied and realized volatility are roughly aligned at 58.5% and 54.5% respectively.

As a Technology constituent, INTC's risk profile should be evaluated alongside sector peers when constructing diversified portfolios.

Anton Ladnyi
Founder & Portfolio Architect
Former Goldman Sachs & J.P. Morgan. CFA charterholder. Specializes in quantitative portfolio construction, factor investing, and institutional-grade risk management for private clients.

This analysis is generated algorithmically from market data and does not constitute investment advice. All metrics are point-in-time estimates subject to revision. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.