The Boeing Company (BA) — Quantitative Forecast & Factor Scores

Quick Summary

The Boeing Company (BA) trades at $205.99 and beta of 1.10 — valuation grade: Hold. Factor scores, risk metrics, and forward analytics are computed by the A.L. Capital Advisory quantitative engine.

VALUATION GRADE
Hold
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Key Metrics
Metric Value
Current Price$205.99
P/E Ratio82.73
Forward P/E43.79
Beta1.10
Net Margin2.5%
ROE290.1%
Debt/Equity1,032.9%

Risk Profile & Factor Analysis

BA currently carries a valuation grade of Hold. At a trailing P/E of 82.7, the stock trades at a 276% premium to the Industrials sector median of 22.0x. Our discounted cash flow model suggests an intrinsic range of $175–$248, implying a +3% margin of safety at the current price of $205.99.

With a beta of 1.10, BA exhibits a market-neutral risk profile relative to the broad market. Net margins of 2.5% fall below the Industrials average of 11%, suggesting potential margin pressure. Return on equity of 290.1% indicates highly efficient capital allocation. Debt-to-equity of 1033% warrants monitoring for leverage risk.

With a 17% beat rate on recent quarters, earnings predictability has been mixed. The most recent quarter saw a -14.3% earnings miss. Analyst estimate revisions are trending accelerating.

Insiders have been net sellers to the tune of $11,379,712 recently. While routine dispositions are common, the magnitude bears watching. Short interest is low at 1.5% of float, suggesting limited bearish conviction.

At 0.53, the put/call ratio skews bullish, with call buyers dominating recent flow. Implied and realized volatility are roughly aligned at 37.8% and 33.3% respectively.

As a Industrials constituent, BA's risk profile should be evaluated alongside sector peers when constructing diversified portfolios.

Anton Ladnyi
Founder & Portfolio Architect
Former Goldman Sachs & J.P. Morgan. CFA charterholder. Specializes in quantitative portfolio construction, factor investing, and institutional-grade risk management for private clients.

This analysis is generated algorithmically from market data and does not constitute investment advice. All metrics are point-in-time estimates subject to revision. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.